Using Real Options to value the impact of climate change

Research has shown that climate change impacts on company value are uncertain, significant and strategically important. The challenge is for the business community to apply financial valuation models that support the incorporation of the climate change impacts in strategic planning. However, the commonly used discounted cash flow techniques in capital budgeting are seen as failing to address the high levels of uncertainties inherent in climate change impacts. Real options thinking has been touted as having the potential to enhance understanding of these impacts via its direct handling of uncertainty, although not much research has been done to demonstrate this. This research applies the real options approach in a setting that exhibits climate change impacts, with the objective of contributing to the narrowing of the gap between finance theory and business practice.

Autorentext

Emily has been involved in the financial and economic implications of climate change since 2001, first in Europe, and subsequently in South Africa, with a focus on the Clean Development Mechanism. Dr Richard Chivaka is an Associate Professor at the Department of Accounting, University of Cape Town.