China s Macroeconomic Outlook

This report is a partial result of the China's Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM), a project developed and maintained by the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. The CMR, one of the Key Research Institutes of Humanities and Social Sciences sponsored by the Ministry of Education of China, has been focusing on China's economic forecast and macroeconomic policy analysis, and it started to develop the CQMM for purpose of short-term forecasting, policy analysis, and simulation in 2005.Based on the CQMM, the CMR and its partners hold press conferences to release forecasts for China' major macroeconomic variables. Since July, 2006, twenty-six quarterly reports on China's macroeconomic outlook have been presented and thirteen annual reports have been published.
This 27th quarterly report has been presented at the Forum on China's Macroeconomic Prospects and Press Conference of the CQMM at Xiamen University Malaysia on October 25, 2019. This conference was jointly held by Xiamen University and Economic Information Daily of Xinhua News Agency.

Reviews China's economic performance in the first half of 2019 Forecasts the main macroeconomic indicators for the next six quarters Simulates the effects of China's macroeconomic policies

Klappentext

This report is a partial result of the Chinäs Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM), a project developed and maintained by the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. The CMR, one of the Key Research Institutes of Humanities and Social Sciences sponsored by the Ministry of Education of China, has been focusing on Chinäs economic forecast and macroeconomic policy analysis, and it started to develop the CQMM for purpose of short-term forecasting, policy analysis, and simulation in 2005.Based on the CQMM, the CMR and its partners hold press conferences to release forecasts for Chinä major macroeconomic variables. Since July, 2006, twenty-six quarterly reports on Chinäs macroeconomic outlook have been presented and thirteen annual reports have been published. This 27th quarterly report has been presented at the Forum on Chinäs Macroeconomic Prospects and Press Conference of the CQMM at Xiamen University Malaysia on October 25, 2019. This conference was jointly held by Xiamen University and Economic Information Daily of Xinhua News Agency.

Inhalt
Chapter 1 China's Economic Performance in the First Half of 2019.- Chapter 2 Quarterly Forecast for 2019-2020.- Chapter 3 Policy Simulation: Effects of China's tax cuts policy to boost the growth of household consumption.- Chapter 4 Conclusions and Policy Suggestions.