China's Macroeconomic Outlook

As the sluggish external market demand and excess domestic investment in past years have caused excess production capacity, resulting in both industrial growth rate and GDP growth rate falling to lowest point for the last three years in China. Where would China's economy go? China's Macroeconomic Outlook, September 2013 provides some insights into the details of the economic development in China, and also includes series of simulations of the impact of decreasing government revenue on the economic performance. The research suggests that China should cut its government revenue share in GDP to promote its structural adjustment.

A quarterly forecast and analysis report on China's macroeconomic outlook, based on China's Quarterly Macroeconometric Model (CQMM) High reference value for entrepreneurs to project China's macroeconomic performance in the coming years and review possible effectiveness of macroeconomic policies A platform to aid understanding of China's macroeconomic behavior and policy dynamics Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras

Inhalt
Preface.- Introduction.- A Review of China's Economy in the First Half Year of 2013.- Forecasts of China's Economy for 2013-2014.- Policy Simulations.- Policy Implications.