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Delphi Method
CHF 43.00
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1SGL930MOQC
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Geliefert zwischen Di., 18.11.2025 und Mi., 19.11.2025
Details
The Delphi method is a systematic, interactive forecasting method which relies on a panel of experts. The experts answer questionnaires in two or more rounds. After each round, a facilitator provides an anonymous summary of the experts forecasts from the previous round as well as the reasons they provided for their judgments. Thus, experts are encouraged to revise their earlier answers in light of the replies of other members of their panel. It is believed that during this process the range of the answers will decrease and the group will converge towards the "correct" answer. Finally, the process is stopped after a pre-defined stop criterion (e.g. number of rounds, achievement of consensus, stability of results) and the mean or median scores of the final rounds determine the results.Delphi is based on the principle that forecasts from a structured group of experts are more accurate than those from unstructured groups or individuals.
Weitere Informationen
- Allgemeine Informationen
- GTIN 09786130292287
- Genre Technik
- Editor Frederic P. Miller, Agnes F. Vandome, John McBrewster
- Sprache Englisch
- Anzahl Seiten 100
- Herausgeber Alphascript Publishing
- Größe H221mm x B152mm x T13mm
- Jahr 2010
- EAN 9786130292287
- Format Fachbuch
- ISBN 978-613-0-29228-7
- Titel Delphi Method
- Untertitel Delphi method, Forecasting, Median, The Wisdom of Crowds, Wideband delphi, John Brunner (novelist), DARPA, Policy Analysis Market, Prediction market
- Gewicht 166g
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