EU Eastern Enlargement and the Russian Transformation Crisis

Europe's economic and political landscape is changing dramatically. The demise of the socialist CMEA and the USSR has allowed eastern European economies to open up and caused Russia/the CIS to engage in a series of difficult reforms which have been supported by the G-7 and the International Monetary Fund plus the World Bank on the one hand, and, on the other hand, by the EU and the EBRD. While some of the (early) Visegrad countries apparently were rather successful in their transition attempt, systemic transition approaches in other countries - Romania and Bulgaria - and, above all, in Russia largely were a failure. Economic hardship, social unrest, political radicalization and the international spreading of criminal activities can be identified as problems from the failure of Russia's first transition attempt. This book deals - from an international perspective - with the postsocialist countries in Europe, i. e. there is a focus on eastern enlargement and on Russia on the one hand, on the other hand the topic is which international influences and effects will emerge from EU enlargement and the Russian transition. While chapter A exclusively deals with major problems of eastern enlargement and the policy options for dealing with this difficult problem, chapter B is devoted to the Russian transformation crisis. There the analysis has a focus on Russia in its own right but also on the potential negative spillovers of a Russian transformation disaster which could occur in the late 1990s.

In-depth analysis of the problems of EU Eastern enlargement With particular consideration of the Russian transition crisis Based on the analysis, successful strategies are identified and presented

Autorentext
Paul J. J. Welfens, geb. 1957 in Düren, Studium der Volkswirtschaftslehre in Wuppertal, Duisburg und Paris, Promotion 1985, Habilitation1989. Inhaber des Lehrstuhls für Volkswirtschaftslehre - Schwerpunkt Makroökonomische Theorie und Politik an der Bergischen Universität Wuppertal; Präsident des Europäischen Instituts für Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen (EIIW); Jean-Monnet-Professor für Europäische Wirtschaftsintegration; zuvor Distinguished Research Fellow am AICGS/The Johns Hopkins University, Professor an der Universität Münster bzw. Potsdam, Visiting Alfred Grosser Professor Sciences Po, Paris.

Klappentext

Two rounds of EU eastern enlargement will pose difficult economic and political adjustment problems. Based on recent analysis one also finds many opportunities for both the EU-15 and the accession countries which, however, face the negative spillovers from the Russian transition crisis. The transformation crisis in Russia is analyzed in its own right and explained via the interplay of domestic reform failure and inadequate external transformation support - including an ill-guided transition approach of the IMF. Based on a broad analysis the ingredients of a successful transformation strategy are identified. Creating prosperity and stability in the whole of Europe is the true challenge of 2000+.

Inhalt
Preface.- A Eastern EU Enlargement: Developments, Problems and Policy.- 1 Introduction.- B The Russian Transformation Crisis: Origins, Analysis and New Policy Requirements.- 1 Introduction.- C Efficient External Liberalization in Russian Transformation.- 1 Introduction.- D The Role of International Organizations.- 1 International Crisis Management: The IMF's Medicine for Asia and Russia.- References.- List of Figures.- List of Tables.