Forecast of agricultural calendar for Maize

The world is facing several major challenges that regarding answer to the current economic crisis and the development of appropriate strategies to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change. The objective of the study is to identify climate risks for maize and the development of an agricultural calendar from a global circulation model. From meteorological data, an agro-climatic analysis was performed during the period 1995-2013 and a forecast from 2015 to 2045 has been done. The results showed that maize is facing major agro-climatic risks from the shortening of the vegetative growth period consecutive to a screeching halt rains before the end of the rainy season which is one of the major agro-climatic constraints. From predicting Echam-5 model, the agricultural calendar was adjusted to avoid the drop in rainfall observed in October and plan the sowing period at the end of October instead of September.

Autorentext

Romain Mutalemba Ntole: responsable y agrónomo de granjas en el sitio de MULUMEMUNENE, Kivu Sur, RDC. Coordinador de la organización de jóvenes africanos para el emprendimiento y el desarrollo. Publicación de una propuesta para el Foro Global de Investigación Agrícola sobre la Promoción de la Agricultura por la Juventud de la República Democrática del Congo.