New Findings in Long-Wave Research

This book presents new methods for the analysis of time series and the identification of long waves. In Part One it is shown that new time series analyses confirm the existence of Kondratieff long waves in economic growth for the 19th and 20th centuries. Part Two presents evidence on long waves in aggregate profit rates for selected major industrialized countries. Part Three covers theoretical discussions and attempts at modeling social, economic and technological factors in long waves.

Inhalt
Preface - Notes on Contributors - Long Wave Research: New Results, New Departures, An Introduction; A.Kleinknecht - PART 1: EMPIRICAL TESTS OF LONG WAVES - Between Trend and Trade Cycles: Kondratieff Waves revisited; J.Reijnders - Filter Design in the Frequency Domain; R.Metz & W.Stier - A Re-examination of Long Waves in Aggregate Production Series; R.Metz - Testing Long Waves in Price and Volume Series from 16 Countries; H.Gerster - PART 2: LONG-RUN PROFIT RATES - Long Waves in Profit Rates of Four Countries; A.Poletayev - Comment; A.Reati - The Falling Rate of Profit as the Cause of Long Waves: Theory and Empirical Evidence; A.Shaikh - Rejoinder; A.Shaikh - Rate of Profit and its Determining Factors from a Regulationist Point of View; L.Fontvieille - Comment; G.Roland - PART 3: ACCUMULATION, LONG WAVES AND SOCIAL CHANGE - Long Waves as an Endogenous Process; S.Menshikov - Great Depressions as Transitional Phases within the Capitalist Mode of Production: The Interplay of Socio-economic and Techno-economic Factors; T.Kuczynski - Comment; B.Verspagen - Class Struggle and the Kondratieff, 1870 to the Present; B.Silver - Comment; P.Scholliers & A.Meynen - Long Waves and the Dialectic of Innovations and Conflicts; P.Dock s & B.Rosier - The International Debate on Long Waves of Capitalist Development: An Intermediary Balance Sheet; E.Mandel - A Brief Agenda for the Future of Long Wave Research; I.Wallerstein - Index