Particle emission concept and probabilistic consideration of the development of infections in systems

The book describes the possibility of making a probabilistic prognosis, which uses the mean n-day logarithm of case numbers in the past to determine an exponent for a probability density for a prognosis, as well as the particle emission concept, which is derived from contact and distribution rates that increase the exponent of the probable development to the extent that a group of people can be formed.

To create a probabilistic forecast Derivation of the particulate emission concept from contact and distribution rates Comprehensive consideration of the interrelationships

Autorentext

Marcus Hellwig is quality manager according to qualification by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of reference books.

Inhalt
Trends in the spread of infections, distribution and contact rates.- Addition of the 4th parameter kurtosis to the density Eqb.- Prediction using the density function and continuous adjustment of the parameters.- Basics for exponential propagation, the logarithm of historical data.- Developments in the USA.- Incidence under probabilistic aspects.- On the percolation theory COVID.- Examples of percolation effects.