Poverty and Distributional Impact of Economic Policies and External Shocks

Economists have had much to say about the impact of economic policies on growth, but little on their distributional consequences and poverty impact. The reorientation of development policy from structural adjustment to poverty reduction as the central objective thus called for new tools to examine distributional change. This book analyzes the poverty and distributional impact of policy changes and external shocks in three case studies from Latin America: Trade liberalization in Colombia and Brazil, and the gas boom in Bolivia. It uses an innovative approach that combines computable general equilibrium and microsimulation models. The country applications illustrate that distributional consequences depend very much on the nature of the shock or policy change as well as the characteristics of the country in question. The book issues a warning against policy prescriptions being based on oversimplifying assumptions and models.

Autorentext

The Author: Jann Lay is research associate at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy and completed a doctorate in economics at the University of Göttingen (Germany). He has worked as a consultant to different development agencies on various developing countries in Africa and Latin America. His research interests include pro-poor growth, poverty impact analysis, and the resource curse.

Inhalt

Contents: Poverty and distributional impact analysis - Country case studies from Latin America - Trade liberalization in Colombia - Doha-Round in Brazil - Bolivian gas boom - Combination of computable general equilibrium and microsimulation models - Sequential macro-micro models.