Probability, Dynamics and Causality

The present volume contains the proceedings of the conference on "Prob ability, dynamics and causality" that took place in Luino on June 15-17, 1995. This was the third conference on topics related to the foundations of probability and statistics held in Luino, following that on "Probability, statistics and inductive logic" (1981) and that on "Statistics in science" (1988). 1 Like the previous ones, the conference brought together people working on the foundations of probability and statistics, as well as their applica tion to science. The meeting opened with a session on "Exchangeability" including the papers by Persi Diaconis and Susan Holmes, Eugenio Regaz zini and Attilio Wedlin, followed by one on "Sufficiency, frequentism and analogy", including the papers by Colin Howson, Alan Hajek and Roberto Festa. The second day of the meeting was in honour of Dick Jeffrey, on the occasion of his forthcoming 70th birthday (August 5, 1996). Dick also took part in the previous meetings and, to use a term dear to him, we consider him the guru of the Luino conferences. The papers by Maria Car la Ga1avotti, Sandy Zabell, Brian Skyrms, Cristina Bicchieri and Richard Jeffrey himself all belong to this section of the conference. The third day included two sessions, devoted to "Probability and quantum mechanics" and "Probability in physical science". Abner Shimony, Giancarlo Ghirar di, Francesco De Martini, Nino Zanghi, Domenico Costantini and Ubaldo Garibaldi gave talks in these sessions.

Klappentext

The book is a collection of essays on various issues in philosophy of science, with special emphasis on the foundations of probability and statistics, and quantum mechanics. The main topics, addressed by some of the most outstanding researchers in the field, are subjective probability, Bayesian statistics, probability kinematics, causal decision making, probability and realism in quantum mechanics.

Inhalt
Are there Still Things to Do in Bayesian Statistics?.- De Finetti's Reconstruction of the Bayes-Laplace Paradigm.- On the Notion of Second-Order Exchangeability.- Bayesian Rules of Updating.- Mises Redux Redux: Fifteen Arguments Against Finite Frequentism.- Analogy and Exchangeability in Predictive Inferences.- Probabilism and Beyond.- Confirming Universal Generalizations.- The Structure of Radical Probabilism.- Common Reasoning about Admissibility.- Unknown Probabilities: In Memory of Annemarie Anrod Shimony (19281995).- A Bayesian Examination of Time-Symmetry in the Process of Measurement.- Quantum Dynamical Reduction and Reality: Replacing Probability Densities with Densities in Real Space.- Test of the Violation of Local Realism in Quantum Mechanics with No Use of Bell's Inequalities.- Naive Realism about Operators.- Predictive Laws of Association in Statistics and Physics.