Selective Recruitment

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Selective recruitment is an observed effect in traffic safety. When safety belt laws are passed, belt wearing rates increase, but casualties decline by smaller percentages than estimated in a simple calculation. This is because those converted from non-use to use are not recruited random members of the driving population. Instead, users differ from non-users in many ways that influence safety.Say initial belt use was zero (it never is, but this assumption makes it easy to understand), and after a belt law is passed use rate increases to 50%. As belts reduce driver fatality risk in crashes by 42%, a naive calculation would lead one to expect a 21% reduction in fatalities. In fact, a lesser reduction is observed. A somewhat complicated equation (p. 293 of Traffic Safety (book) estimates expected fatality reductions when use rates increase from any initial percent to any new percent. For the case of an increase in belt use from zero to 50%, the calculated reduction in deaths is 16%, well below the 21% estimated from the naive calculation.

Weitere Informationen

  • Allgemeine Informationen
    • GTIN 09786138551904
    • Editor Epimetheus Chr. Hiram
    • Sprache Englisch
    • Auflage Aufl.
    • Größe H220mm x B220mm
    • Jahr 2011
    • EAN 9786138551904
    • Format Kartonierter Einband (Kt)
    • ISBN 978-613-8-55190-4
    • Titel Selective Recruitment
    • Untertitel Road Traffic Safety
    • Herausgeber PLACPUB
    • Anzahl Seiten 88
    • Genre Sozialwissenschaften allgemein

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