Statistical study on the situation of Covid-19 in the Republic of Djibouti "April 2020"

Coronavirus 2019 or Covid-19 is an emerging viral zoonotic infectious disease caused by a strain of coronavirus called SARS-COV-2. This virus appears in November 2019 in Wuhan (which will be the global epicenter of the disease), central China with unusual cases of pneumonia prompting severe containment measures in January 2020. The World Health Organization (WHO) will then reclassify this epidemic as a pandemic in March 2020.in turn, the Republic of Djibouti is affected by this pandemic, records and announces on Wednesday, March 18, 2020 its first case of contamination with the new coronavirus (COVID-19), imposing the closure of borders. This study focuses on the data of the Covid-19 in Djibouti from March 18, 2020 to April 17, 2020 and ends on April 20, 2020 almost 1 month after the appearance of the 1st case in the Republic of Djibouti.This work will be divided into 3 main parts namely:- A descriptive analysis on the data of the Covid-19 in Djibouti;- Some epidemiological indicators on this pandemic in Djibouti and the epidemiological map- A forecast of the accumulation of people declared positive following the PCR tests.

Autorentext

Estudiante de doctorado en econometría y estadística en el Laboratorio de Investigación Económica de Saint-Louis (LARES) de la Universidad Gaston Berger de Saint-Louis (Senegal) y antiguo profesor de estadística y econometría en la Universidad de Yibuti. El Sr. Yacin MOUHOUMED ELMI trabaja actualmente como gestor de proyectos y monitor-evaluador.